Eliciting information from experts for use in constructing prior distributions for logistic regression coefficients can be challenging. The task is especially difficult when the model contains many predictor variables, because the expert is asked to provide summary information about the probability of “success” for many subgroups of the population. Often,...
This paper examines the regulatory decision problem facing fishery managers tasked with balancing desirable fish catch with undesirable bycatch. I approach the problem using Bayesian decision analysis. I first estimate a model of production, accounting for the fishery’s joint production of desirable and undesirable outputs. I then use the estimated...
This study investigated variation in xylem anatomy, hydraulic properties, and the relationship between anatomy and properties within Douglas-fir trees at multiple scales. The hierarchical scales in the study included fertilization treatments (fertilized and unfertilized), trees within the treatments, and positions within the trees. Tracheid diameter, tracheid length, percent latewood, number...
This study investigated variation in xylem anatomy, hydraulic properties, and the relationship between anatomy and properties within Douglas-fir trees at multiple scales. The hierarchical scales in the study included fertilization treatments (fertilized and unfertilized), trees within the treatments, and positions within the trees. Tracheid diameter, tracheid length, percent latewood, number...
A dynamic approach to the Bayesian theory of sampling inspection
by attributes for the single sampling case is presented. A model is
developed which assumes a sequence of lots of equal known size and
lots generated by a process operating in a random manner. The model
also assumes constant associated...
Motivation: The goal of any parentage analysis is to identify as many parent-offspring relationships as possible, while minimizing incorrect assignments. Existing methods can achieve these ends, but require additional information in the form of demographic data, thousands of markers, and/or estimates of genotyping error rates. For many non-model systems, it...
A Bayesian approach to the analysis of a two-phase linear
regression model is given. It is assumed that the regression model is
continuous at the change point. The likelihood function is expressed
in a form which explicitly contains the continuity restriction. The
natural conjugate prior distribution for the likelihood function...
This dissertation explores and analyzes the performance of several Bayesian anytime inference algorithms for dynamic influence diagrams. These algorithms are compared on the On-Line Maintenance Agent testbed, a software artifact permitting comparison of dynamic reasoning algorithms used by an agent on a variety of simulated maintenance and monitoring tasks. Analysis...