Recent studies have found that equatorial Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) variability may be influencing tropical Indian Ocean climate (Kucharski 2009, Wang 2009). Due to the economic and social impact of tropical cyclones, it is important to investigate how an Atlantic-Indian Ocean connection may be affecting tropical cyclone behavior in...
Recent findings indicate that ENSO may modulate the
strength of the Indian monsoons by altering the meridional
tropospheric temperature gradient between Asia and the
equatorial Indian Ocean. Here we show that during northern
hemisphere summertime El Nino events both colder upper
tropospheric temperatures and increased vorticity anomalies
are observed within...
Mosquitoes and mosquitoborne disease transmission
are sensitive to hydrologic variability. If local hydrologic
conditions can be monitored or modeled at the scales at
which these conditions affect the population dynamics of
vector mosquitoes and the diseases they transmit, a means
for monitoring or modeling mosquito populations and mosquitoborne
disease transmission...
The frequency of moderate to heavy rainfall events is projected to change in response to global warming. Here we show that these hydrologic changes may have a profound effect on mosquito population dynamics and rates of mosquito-borne disease transmission. We develop a simple model, which treats the mosquito reproductive cycle...
The origin of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), the leading mode of sea surface temperature variability for the North Pacific, is a matter of considerable debate. One paradigm views the PDO as an independent mode centered in the North Pacific, while another regards it as a largely reddened response to...
Numerous studies have demonstrated statistical associations between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and precipitation in the Mediterranean basin. The dynamical bases for these teleconnections have yet to be fully identified. Here, observational analyses and model simulations are used to show how ENSO variability affects rainfall over southwestern Europe (Iberia, Southern...
Influenza A incidence peaks during winter in temperate regions. The basis for this pronounced seasonality is not understood, nor is it well documented how influenza A transmission principally occurs. Previous studies indicate that relative humidity (RH) affects both influenza virus transmission (IVT) and influenza virus survival (IVS). Here, we reanalyze...
An atmospheric stationary wave teleconnection mechanism is proposed to explain how ENSO may affect the Tibetan Plateau snow depth and thereby the south Asian monsoons. Using statistical analysis, the short available record of satellite estimates of snow depth, and ray tracing, it is shown that wintertime ENSO conditions in the...
Intraseasonal variability of boreal summer rainfall and winds in tropical West Africa and the east Atlantic is examined using daily Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) precipitation and the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis during 1998–2006. Intraseasonal precipitation variability is dominated by two significant spectral peaks at time scales near 15 and 50 days,...
We used a dynamic hydrology model to simulate water table depth (WTD) and quantify the relationship
between Saint Louis encephalitis virus (SLEV) transmission and hydrologic conditions in Indian River
County, Florida, from 1986 through 1991, a period with an SLEV epidemic. Virus transmission followed
periods of modeled drought (specifically low...