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Empirical Analysis of Fishing Fleet Dynamics: Entry, Stay and Exit Choices in Selected EU Fisheries

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  • The decision to enter or exit a fishery can be expected to depend on the anticipated profitability of operating in this fishery, as a function of observed vessel performances in previous years. For a vessel exiting a fishery, there may be several reasons including decommissioning, selling or operating elsewhere. Entry may be related to new vessels, or to vessels transferring from other fisheries. Modelling the behaviour of fishers with respect to their entering and exiting strategy can inform as to the impact of a proposed management policy and other external factors (e.g. changes in market, fuel costs and stock size), which can have major impact on the structure of fishing fleets. Three European cases studies are considered to understand the determinants of the observed changes in fleet size relating to such factors. In each case, a multinomial (unordered) logit model is used as the basis for analysis. Case studies considered include the Basque trawl fleet operating in the Bay of Biscay, the French 16-20m trawler fleet based in ports of Southern Brittany, and the English beam trawl fleet operating in the North Sea. Results confirm that in addition to individual vessel characteristics, both expected revenues and the additional incentives provided by decommissioning schemes have a bearing on a vessels’ participation in a fishery.
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  • Mardle, Simon, Olivier Thebaud, Olivier Guyader, Trevor Hutton, Raul Prellezo and Muriel Travers. 2006. Empirical Analysis of Fishing Fleet Dynamics: Entry, Stay and Exit Choices in Selected EU Fisheries. In: Proceedings of the Thirteenth Biennial Conference of the International Institute of Fisheries Economics & Trade, July 11-14, 2006, Portsmouth, UK: Rebuilding Fisheries in an Uncertain Environment. Compiled by Ann L. Shriver. International Institute of Fisheries Economics & Trade, Corvallis, Oregon, USA, 2006. CD ROM. ISBN 0-9763432-3-1
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  • The National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration Marine Fisheries Service, United States Department of Commerce (NOAA Fisheries); United Kingdom Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA); The United States Agency for International Development supported Aquaculture Collaborative Research and Support Program (ACRSP).
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