Models of stand growth and yield must include an estimate of mortality.
For individual-tree/distance-independent growth-and-yield models. it
is necessary (1) to predict the probability of death of individual trees and
(2) to keep stand projections within reasonable biological limits (e.g., the
maximum basal area that the stand can achieve). In this study, the probability
of death of an individual tree is predicted by a logistic equation with
coefficients estimated for tree species growing in the mixed-conifer zone of
southwest Oregon. Overall stand projections are controlled by use of sizedensity
trajectories that govern the approach of the stand to the maximum
size-density line.