Abstract:
The Corvallis area study is made to help evaluate the local need
for additional system capacity ten years in the future. The product of
the study is an areally detailed projection of electrical demand.
The demand is derived in two steps: the location, nature, and
intensity of specific land uses are predicted, and usage indicators
are applied to those activities. The usage indicators are not developed
in this paper. The projections of land use are based in part on
the capacities for and constraints on development as outlined in zoning
ordinances and the Corvallis Comprehensive Plan. Other determinants of
growth potential include location, ownership, available services, and
an impression of the future rate and direction of urban expansion.
The overall projection is the sum of 464 small-area projections. These
are made with a limited use of extrapolation and an extensive use of
informed opinion--contacts with planners, developers, and administrators
being the primary external guidance. The projections of housing units are converted to population
figures and are compared with an existing population projection, and
they are found to be in reasonable accord. The results of the project
are presented cartographically, showing the expected growth in both
population and electrical demand.
