The validation and potential use of mathematical models to estimate the
shelf-life of refrigerated food exposed to temperature abuse and basing such
estimations on microbial growth was analyzed. Combined heat transfer, microbial
growth models, and non-parametric statistical procedures formed a computer-based
predictive tool to assess shelf-life and estimate the accuracy...
Quantitative procedures were developed to determine the effect of variability in the model parameters required for the estimation of microbial shelflife and thermal processing time. Monte Carlo simulations combined with these predictive models were implemented in Microsoft Excel™. In the first study,
predictive models were used for shelf-life predictions based...