The present study employs a normalized restricted quadratic profit function approach to estimate lumber and plywood supply and Marshallian factor demand elasticities for four region-product combinations in Oregon for the period 1970-2010. The four log demand functions will be employed as the "demand side" of the log market model of...
This dissertation used land rent theory and an economic model of land-use conversion to examine the main drivers of the deforestation occurred in Antioquia,Colombia, between 1980 and 2000. Land-cover information at a semi-fine scale (1:25,000)
obtained largely from aerial photography was employed to calculate deforestation. In addition, free international databases...
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DariusM. Adams
This dissertation used land rent theory and an economic model of land-use
This study considered regional forest policies for sequestering carbon in existing
forests in western Oregon. A model of log markets in western Oregon was employed to
examine the impacts of forest policy changes on future carbon stock, harvests, and
management activities. A carbon tax program, as a mitigation option for...
This thesis is comprised of two manuscripts that relate to forest-based management strategies in the context of market-based climate change mitigation policies. The work questions the appropriateness of a singular focus on carbon sequestration given the albedo effect and its possible countervailing climatic impacts. Through a review of salient literature...
The objective of this project was to investigate technical efficiency and productivity growth in the Pacific Northwest sawmilling industry over the period 1968-2002. Productivity growth was decomposed into three components: technical change, efficiency change, and scale efficiency change. In addition, using econometric methods, changes in output elasticities and input substitution...
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DariusM. Adams
The objective of this project was to investigate technical efficiency and
This study considers trade-offs between timber harvest and carbon
sequestration on National Forest and other public lands by contemporaneously linking
a model of public harvest and inventory to a carbon accounting system. The public
harvest model treats three harvest scenarios. The first minimizes the cost of meeting
harvest requests that...
Past afforestation programs launched to promote private and community woodlots in rural Ethiopia have not been based on clear understanding of the incentives and constraints of smallholder farmers. This study investigated the characteristic differences between tree-growing and non-tree-growing farm households and identified factors influencing farmers’ tree-growing decisions from a farming...
The objectives of this paper are to: (1) describe the structure and output of SHRUB and RMS8O, (2) evaluate their respective ability to satisfy the needs of a state level timber assessment, and (3) demonstrate their application to forest planning using the state of California as the focus of a...
Two econometric models were developed to forecast consumption,
production, and price of hardwood lumber, and removals and price
of hardwood sawlog stumpage. Four eastern U.S. regions were represented
in the models. Hardwood lumber consumption by manufacturing,
shipping, residential construction, and nonresidential construction
industries was recognized. Hardwood sawlog stumpage removals from...
To facilitate policy making and improve understanding of issues facing the New Zealand forest sector, a spatial equilibrium model was developed for log and lumber trade in the Pacific Rim. Regions included in the model were New Zealand, Chile, Australia, Japan, Eastern Canada, British Columbia: Coast and Interior, and the...
The objective of this study was to develop a system based on
economic criteria for projecting changes in land use areas. The total
land base was partitioned among three classes of private forest owners
and crop, pasture/range, and urban/other uses in the southeastern
United States. The fraction of the land...
Management restrictions are simulated on streamside acres owned by private interests in western Oregon to assess forest inventory and log market implications. A dynamic, nonlinear optimization model of western Oregon's softwood log market simulates the resource and economic impacts of set-aside and minimum harvest age restrictions on forest acreage within...
Forest Service projections of the long-term supply and demand
for forest products indicate that increasing importance will be
placed on the supply behavior of nonindustrial private forest owners
in the South. The inventory model on which these projections are
based may produce biased estimates of southern timber production,
however, as...
Subregional log market differences are defined and analyzed. Seven demand and seven supply centers are initially specified. Log demand factors inspected are mill capacity, processed wood species, cost and profitability conditions distinguished by product and subregion.
They are preliminarily linked to a regional market model through product price transmission. An...
This study utilizes the Timber Assessment Market Model (TAMM) to examine the differences in Canadian softwood lumber market forecasts arising from econometric versus activity analysis supply curves. A restricted profit function approach is applied to three lumber producing regions using the most recent data available on costs, prices, and output...
The Philippines relies heavily on timber product exports for its foreign exchange requirements. In recent years, however, it adopted log export restrictions as a hedge against the rapid depletion of its timber resources. Although conducted independently, its ASEAN partners (Malaysia and Indonesia), have likewise instituted similar restrictions on their own...
Although one of the most common problems facing the forest manager is the determination of management regime, there has been little effort to explicitly recognize the effect of harvesting technology and topography in the analysis. This study introduces a unified theory in harvesting in mountainous terrain which brings together silvicultural...
Few studies have examined the own-price elasticity of Canadian softwood lumber supply or output-adjusted factor demand elasticities over the past two decades, despite the utility of these measures in understanding producer response to tariffs, to market shifts (such as the decline in U.S. public harvest), and to changes in domestic...
In the field of forest planning, assumptions regarding the appropriate modeling of management behavior, translated through management prescriptions, minimum harvest ages, green-up periods, and other variables are needed if a stand-level optimization process is not used to guide the selection of stand management regimes Forest planners thus generally have a...
For many resource-based communities throughout Oregon the timber
industry plays an important role. In many of these areas, federal
land holdings comprise a large proportion of the area's land holdings.
Management decisions regarding resource use on the National Forest
lands can have a major influence on the stability of local...
Policymakers are examining a wide range of alternatives for climate change mitigation, including carbon offset sales programs, to enhance sequestration in the forest sector. Under an offset sales program, on-the-ground forestry could change as a result of both afforestation and modifications in the management of existing forests. These effects could...
We describe the use of linked land-use and forest sector models to simulate the effects of carbon offset sales on private forest owners' land-use and forest management decisions in western Oregon (USA). Our work focuses on forest management decisions rather than afforestation, allows full forest sector price adjustment to land-use...
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potential forest carbon offset sales program in western Oregon (USA)
Gregory S. Latta a, DariusM. Adams a
As global climate changes over the next century, forest productivity is expected to change as well. Using PRISM climate and productivity data measured on a grid of 3356 plots, we developed a simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) model to estimate the impacts of climate change on potential productivity of Pacific Northwest (PNW)...
We describe the use of linked land-use and forest sector models to simulate the effects of carbon offset sales on private forest owners' land-use and forest management decisions in western Oregon (USA). Our work focuses on forest management decisions rather than afforestation, allows full forest sector price adjustment to land-use...
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recession.
Appendix references
Haynes R.W., Adams D.M., Alig R.J., Ince P.J., Mills J.R., Zhou X
We describe the use of linked land-use and forest sector models to simulate the effects of carbon offset sales on private forest owners' land-use and forest management decisions in western Oregon (USA). Our work focuses on forest management decisions rather than afforestation, allows full forest sector price adjustment to land-use...
Understanding how N availability influences base cation stores is critical for long-term ecosystem sustainability. Indices of nitrogen (N) availability and the distribution of nutrients in plant biomass, soil, and soil water were examined across ten young, unpolluted Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) stands in the Oregon Coast Range spanning a three-fold soil...
Growing stock inventory on industrial and nonindustrial private forest (NIPF) lands in eastern Oregon has declined over the past 20 yr, as harvesting and mortality losses to insects and disease have outpaced growth. Over the same time period, harvest rates on private lands have varied, with no distinct trend to...
Natural disturbances and human activities can alter the benthic composition of coral reefs and other marine ecosystems. Reef fishes that associate with particular structures on the sea floor, such as coral heads, may be vulnerable to perturbations of those habitats. The spread of a newly discovered crustose alga (Ramicrusta sp.)...
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AN ABSTRACT OF THE THESIS OF
AnnaRose Adams for the degree of Honors Baccalaureate of Science in
Intertemporal timber supply models typically assume perfect capital markets and perfectly inelastic supplies of land. Using a dynamic model of U.S. timber and agriculture markets, we examine (i) borrowing limits or capital constraints, in which investment in forest management on nonindustrial private ownerships is restricted, and (ii) a nonzero elasticity...
Production of renewable energy from biomass has been promoted as means to improve greenhouse gas balance in energy production, improve energy security, and provide jobs and income. However, uncertainties remain as to how the agriculture and forest sectors might jointly respond to increased demand for bioelectricity feedstocks and the potential...
Forest measurement and biometrics (FMB) programs have been at the heart of forestry education in North America since its beginnings at the Biltmore Forest School more than 100 years ago. Over the intervening period, the field of forestry has changed in critical ways. There are many forest management and policy...
Foresters face new and evolving challenges as society reconsiders the balance of its interests between wood production and the provision of ecosystem services in the management of forests. Whatever paths this process may take, sound and broad-based decisions will continue to require accurate and relevant measurements of current forest conditions...
The purpose of this dissertation is to formulate,
analyze and numerically solve the dynamic harvesting problem
for uneven-aged stands. The problem is to find the
optimal numbers of trees to remove from diameter classes
over a finite time horizon and is formulated as a
discrete-time optimal-control problem with bounded control...
Micromanufacturing consists of processes for producing structures, devices or systems with feature sizes measured in micrometers. Micromanufacturing began in the mid-1960's with microelectronics fabrication technology. In the 1980's, Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems (MEMS) began to be developed, in which electrical and mechanical subsystems were integrated at small scales. More recently, Microtechnology-based Energy...
This dissertation's three essays explore the effects of climate change on land use
changes in the U.S., how future land areas in all major land uses change by projecting
land use at the regional scale under two IPCC climate change scenarios. Investigate how
and what role should carbon sequestration plays...
The 2002 Biscuit Fire burned through more than 200,000 ha of mixed conifer/
evergreen hardwood forests in southwestern Oregon and northwestern
California. The remarkable size of the fire and the diversity of conditions through
which it burned provided an opportunity to analyze the correlates of burn severity
across vegetation types...
There are a number of wood properties which affect the quality of forest products such as lumber and pulp. Of these, wood density is considered by some to be the single most important physical characteristic because it is an excellent predictor of strength, stiffness, hardness, and paper-making capacities. Accurately assessing...
Soil respiration, or the combined CO₂ emissions from roots and soil microorganisms, constitutes one of the largest losses of carbon (C) from terrestrial ecosystems. The major drivers of soil respiration, which include soil moisture, temperature, and substrate quality, have been known for some time. Nevertheless,
correlations between these drivers and...
Within Oregon there is considerable interest in the possibility of converting woody biomass to energy. This interest stems from three converging factors: the desire to reduce the threat of uncharacteristic wildfire by removing excess material from the forests, the possibility to stimulate rural economies that are dependent on forest products,...
A study was conducted to investigate the influence of root reinforcements on soil strength and the initiation of static liquefaction in forest soils. The design and operation was developed of an apparatus capable of modeling rainfall-induced shallow hill-slope failures that also permitted observation of the soil volume change tendencies at...
Private forest landowners can adapt to climate change by altering their timing and intensity of harvests, by changing thinning or fertilizing activities, and by altering the tree species growing on their land. The well-being of humans is closely tied to the ecosystem services that forests provide as both market and...
The development of a market for currently non-merchantable forest material, such as harvest residues of tops and limbs of trees or small diameter trees, has been suggested as a possible win-win solution that could: (i) provide a financial incentive to help motivate treatments to reduce wildfire risk or restore forest...
This dissertation is about the likelihood analysis of ordered categorical responses in a longitudinal/spatial study, meaning regression-like analysis when the response variable is categorical with ordered categories, and is measured repeatedly over time or space on the experimental or sampling units. Particular attention is given to the multivariate ordinal probit...
Controls of substrate quality, temperature, and moisture on woody root decomposition in the Pacific Northwest were explored using chronosequences, time series, laboratory incubations, and simulation modeling approaches at three sites: Cascade Head
(CAH), H. J. Andrews (HJA), and Pringle Falls Experimental Forests (PRF). In the chronosequence study, a structural component-oriented...
Harvest scheduling and stand level optimization have
generally been regarded as separable problems. Some
studies have attempted to jointly optimize a wide range of stand treatments and a forest wide harvest schedule using combinations of mathematical programming techniques. The mathematical programming forest level techniques presume perfect information on production, costs...
In his Nick Adams stories, Ernest Hemingway traces the life of a single man as he moves from boyhood to adolescence to adulthood to fatherhood. From the beginning of Nick Adams life, it is clear that he does not fit into the role of the traditional hero. In addition, Nick...
In this analysis, volume-flow and market-based models of the western Oregon timber sector are developed. The volume-flow model finds the maximum, long-term, even-flow level of cut for each ownership (industry and non-industrial private forest). The market model simulates the interaction of log demand and timber owner supply to find the...
