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Filtering by: Funding statement This work has been undertaken as part of the Australian Climate Change Science Program, funded jointly by the Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency, the Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO. CSIRO’s research in this area was also funded by the Centre for Ice and Climate at the University of Copenhagen. The Centre of Excellence of Mathematics and Statistics of Complex Systems (MASCOS) has been funded by the Australian Research Council. I. Enting’s fellowship at MASCOS was funded in part by CSIRO. P. Rayner is in receipt of an Australian Professorial Fellowship (DP1096309). C. Buizert was supported by the NOAA Climate and Global Change Fellowship Program, administered by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research. Remove constraint Funding statement: This work has been undertaken as part of the Australian Climate Change Science Program, funded jointly by the Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency, the Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO. CSIRO’s research in this area was also funded by the Centre for Ice and Climate at the University of Copenhagen. The Centre of Excellence of Mathematics and Statistics of Complex Systems (MASCOS) has been funded by the Australian Research Council. I. Enting’s fellowship at MASCOS was funded in part by CSIRO. P. Rayner is in receipt of an Australian Professorial Fellowship (DP1096309). C. Buizert was supported by the NOAA Climate and Global Change Fellowship Program, administered by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research.

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