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Geothermics and climate change : 2. joint analysis of borehole temperature and meteorological data

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  • Long-period ground surface temperature variations contained in borehole temperature-depth profiles form a complementary climate change record to high-frequency, but noisy surface air temperature (SAT) records at weather stations. We illustrate the benefits of jointly analyzing geothermal and meteorological data for two regions in Utah where both high-quality temperature-depth measurements and century long SAT records exist. Transient temperature-depth profiles constructed from SAT time series reproduce in considerable detail borehole transient temperature-depth profiles. Typical rms differences between these transient temperature profiles are less than 13 mK. The analysis yields a preobservational mean (POM) temperature, a parameter describing the long-term mean surface temperature prior to the onset of SAT measurements (i.e., prior to the 20th century). The average POM for these two regions is 0.6° ± 0.2°C cooler than the 1951-1970 average SAT, suggesting that 20th century warming represents a real and significant departure from 19th century surface temperature values. In certain cases, borehole temperature profiles might be used as an independent check on long-wavelength adjustments made to SAT data.
  • Copyrighted by American Geophysical Union.
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  • Chapman, D. S., Harris, R. N., (1998) Geothermics and climate change 2. joint analysis of borehole temperature and meteorological data, J. Geophys. Res., 103, B4, 7371-7383.
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  • 103
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  • B4
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