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Abstract
  • Though long a standard technique in engineering and medical research, duration or survival analysis has become common in economics only in recent decades, and in fisheries economics we are aware of only one previous study. In this paper, we demonstrate the usefulness of duration analysis to understanding fleet dynamics, specifically to predicting fishers’ exit decisions. The analysis explores the dependency of these decisions on the length of time during which a fisher has been active and on boat characteristics. We emphasize the development of a Bayesian approach to duration model estimation, and, through an application to the US Pacific salmon fishery, we show the policy relevance of duration analysis to limited-entry fisheries in particular.
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Citation
  • Holloway, Garth and David Tomberlin. 2006. Duration Analysis of Fleet Dynamics. In: Proceedings of the Thirteenth Biennial Conference of the International Institute of Fisheries Economics & Trade, July 11-14, 2006, Portsmouth, UK: Rebuilding Fisheries in an Uncertain Environment. Compiled by Ann L. Shriver. International Institute of Fisheries Economics & Trade, Corvallis, Oregon, USA, 2006. CD ROM. ISBN 0-9763432-3-1
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Mot-clé
Subject
Déclaration de droits
Funding Statement (additional comments about funding)
  • The National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration Marine Fisheries Service, United States Department of Commerce (NOAA Fisheries); United Kingdom Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA); The United States Agency for International Development supported Aquaculture Collaborative Research and Support Program (ACRSP).
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