Economics of the Recovery of Fish Stocks: Comparison of A Npv Calculation of A Recovery Strategy With the Real Development of the Baltic Cod Fishery Public Deposited

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  • The recovery of fish stocks is in principle an investment decision weighing up short term losses against future gains. In the Common Fisheries Policy (CFP) of the EU long term management or recovery plans are a main instrument. One of the basic aims is to move from a short term to a longer term perspective in the management process by having automatic rules about how to set quotas in the following years. This gives fishermen more security on catch possibilities in the future. However, it is not clear whether measures in recovery plans are economically feasible or not. Fishermen may lose more than they gain from such a recovery plan. In the first part of the paper we describe the economics behind long term management plans and the rationale of such plans from an economic viewpoint. Secondly, we use the Baltic cod fishery as an example to compare the present value of recovery scenarios and a status quo scenario. As a simplification only one cod stock is assumed in that calculation (in the Baltic Sea a western and eastern stock are distinguished). In the meantime a long term management plan for Baltic cod is in place since 2008. Especially the Eastern stock shows strong signs of recovery because of reduced fishing effort and good recruitment. In a third part we analyze to which extent the general calculations are comparable to the experiences in the real fishery.
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  • Döring, Ralf and Jörg Berkenhagen. 2010. Economics of the Recovery of Fish Stocks: Comparison of A Npv Calculation of A Recovery Strategy With the Real Development of the Baltic Cod Fishery. 11 pages. In: Proceedings of the Fifteenth Biennial Conference of the International Institute of Fisheries Economics & Trade, July 13-16, 2010, Montpellier, France: Economics of Fish Resources and Aquatic Ecosystems: Balancing Uses, Balancing Costs. Compiled by Ann L. Shriver. International Institute of Fisheries Economics & Trade, Corvallis, Oregon, USA, 2010.
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