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Predicting Resource Management Benefits By Simulating Angler Demand and Supply Responses

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Abstract
  • The “product” travel cost model (PTC) improves supply and substitution specification in travel cost models (TCM), eliminating common biases in estimating welfare effects of qualitative changes at specific sites. Angling sites and participation are modeled as a system of product supplies and demands; changes in angling quality at specific sites are evaluated as changes in the supplies of relevant products. PTC assumes that each angler chooses from a selection of angling opportunities (i.e., products) based on access cost (i.e., travel cost) and the nature of each angling product. Key factors defining angling products (e.g., success rate, fish size) are derived from angler travel patterns: Anglers are assumed indifferent between sites providing identical angling products, so choose the lowest cost site. Therefore, the benefits of any management action not only differ from average welfare-change values, but are also site-specific. Changing angling attributes at a site changes its angling product: a unit of the existing product (potentially decreasing its supply) is lost while a unit of the newly created product is produced (potentially increasing its supply). Changes in supply at one site may alter angler participation patterns and the value of angling opportunities at the affected site plus at many other sites as well. Credit Valley Conservation contracted the application of the PTC examined here, namely angling in the Credit River watershed near Toronto, Canada. Average angler consumer surplus was estimated at $40 per angler day and varied according to angling product, location and season.
  • Keywords: Fishery Management, Special Topics, Fisheries Economics, Valuing Recreational Fisheries and Modelling Human Responses to Changes in their Management Regimes
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  • Talhelm, Daniel R., J. Edward Hanna, Tatiana Koveshnikova and Peter Victor. 2010. Predicting Resource Management Benefits By Simulating Angler Demand and Supply Responses. 12 pages. In: Proceedings of the Fifteenth Biennial Conference of the International Institute of Fisheries Economics & Trade, July 13-16, 2010, Montpellier, France: Economics of Fish Resources and Aquatic Ecosystems: Balancing Uses, Balancing Costs. Compiled by Ann L. Shriver. International Institute of Fisheries Economics & Trade, Corvallis, Oregon, USA, 2010.
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  • US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Fisheries Division, Agence Française de Développement, Ministère de l’Enseignement Supérieur et de la Recherche, Ministère de L’Alimentation de L’Agriculture et de la Pêche, Ministère de l’Énergie, du Développement Durable et de la Mer, La Région Languedoc Rouslilon, Département Hérault, Montpellier Agglomèration, The Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Canada, and AquaFish Collaborative Research Support Program (CRSP).
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