Graduate Thesis Or Dissertation
 

Japan's import demand for Pacific Northwest frozen corn and potatoes

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https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/graduate_thesis_or_dissertations/5425kf15k

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  • A net shift analysis was used to analyze growth in employment and value added from 1954 to 1982 in SIC 2037, Frozen Fruits, Fruit Juices, and Vegetables. This analysis indicated that the Pacific Northwest dominated the growth experienced in this sector over this time period. Oregon's share of total U.S. employment in SIC 2037 increased from 7.3 percent in 1954 to 16.1 percent in 1982. Value added in Oregon was 16.1 percent of the U.S. total in 1982, and growth in both employment and value added was at a greater rate than the overall U.S. rate of growth in this sector. Washington's share of employment increased from 10.3 percent to 13 percent, and the share of U.S. total value added in this sector grew from 11 percent to 14.2 percent. Value added by the freezing of fruits and vegetables in Idaho increased to 10.3 percent of the U.S. total in 1982, and employment grew to a share of 10.5 percent, from 3.5 percent in 1954. An informal survey of executives in six food processing plants in Oregon suggested that expanding international export markets was essential to continued growth for this industry in the Pacific Northwest. A model of Japan's import demand of frozen vegetable products, specifically corn and potatoes, is estimated using data from 1978 through 1986 of real own price at the export site, Japanese consumer expenditures adjusted by Japan's CPI, and Japan's domestic production of frozen corn and potatoes. Commerce Department data on exports by Customs District was used to disaggregate import demand by region; namely Oregon, Washington, the two together as Pacific Northwest, and the total U.S. It was found that the demand for frozen corn imports is more responsive to changes in real own price than the import demand for frozen potatoes. Income elasticities were positive and higher for frozen potato import demand than for frozen corn demand, except for Oregon originating exports. Production in Japan of frozen corn has a higher negative impact on exports from Oregon ports than Washington based exports. Production of frozen potatoes in Japan did not have a negative impact on import demand from any of the four export sites.
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