Graduate Thesis Or Dissertation
 

Identifying and prioritizing research gaps for the incorporation of fires in life cycle analysis of structures: A Delphi survey of international experts

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https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/graduate_thesis_or_dissertations/6q182t340

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  • Civil engineers are aware of the impacts of structures on the global environment but the environmental impacts of a fire within these structures remains unknown. Fires present a unique hazard as it is difficult to predict the probability of the occurrence and the intensity. Traditional methods to identify the environmental impacts of a structure (ISO 14040) do not consider hazards, like earthquakes or fires, in the boundary of the analysis. The research team proposed a Fire-LCA methodology that highlighted research gaps from literature that must be filled to implement the process. A Delphi survey was conducted to evaluate the identified research gaps for impact, desirability, and probability of occurrence by the year 2030. The objectives of this research were to (1) synthesize literature-supported research gaps to include fire as a hazard into LCA of structures, (2) prioritize identified research gaps to include fire as a hazard into LCA of structures, and (3) evaluate how priorities vary based on participant demographics. An analytic methodology was used to measure the consensus and stability of the results of the Delphi survey. The results of the Delphi survey identified high priority research gaps for the implementation of the proposed Fire-LCA methodology. Eighteen research gaps were identified in the literature and the first round of the Delphi survey. Participants identified top three priorities for each of the three tested metrics in the survey. High priority research gaps were also identified according to participant expertise and geolocation. The work presented in this thesis is intended to provide an outlined path forward for researchers to take steps towards the implementation of a Fire-LCA methodology.
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