Current and future economic impact of Mount Hood National Forest outdoor recreation consumption Public Deposited

http://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/graduate_thesis_or_dissertations/bk128g226

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  • Mount Hood National Forest provides opportunities for many forms of outdoor recreation. Recreationists spend money to pursue outdoor activities on public lands such as national forests and national parks. The purpose of this study was to measure the economic contribution of national forest visitor expenditures on the local economy of the Mount Hood National Forest. Secondary sources were used to gather expenditure data for 13 outdoor recreation activities and to provide recreation visitor use projections for the year 2000. The regional input-output model IMPLAN was used to model changes in final demand attributable to projected growth in per-capita consumption of outdoor recreation from Mount Hood National Forest. Economic impacts were estimated for the proposed economic region in terms of final demand, total output, total income, number of jobs, and net migration. Methods for nonsurvey economic data reconciliation are also presented. Base-year (1987) final demand attributable to outdoor recreation was found to be 1.0 - 1.5 percent of total regional final demand. Base-year output, income, and employment were found to be 0.5 - 1.0 percent of regional totals. Likely impacts of future visitor expenditures are forecasted based on a low-growth, high-growth, and variable-growth projection of future visitation to Mount Hood National Forest. Under the three projections presented, outdoor recreation related economic impacts are predicted to increase by 25 to 55 percent above the 1987 base year recreation-related regional totals, for the thirteen year projection period ending in the year 2000. Significant variation in impacts across the regions was identified for some industrial sectors. This was attributed to possible differences in locational characteristics of the affected sectors. None of the outdoor recreation-related industries exhibited significant sectoral impact variation across regions.
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