A sensitivity evaluation of EPA's CAL3QHC dispersion model for carbon monoxide analysis at urban intersections Public Deposited

http://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/graduate_thesis_or_dissertations/z890rx29s

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  • In February 1994, EPA proposed to "refine" its carbon monoxide (CO) hot spot model, CAL3QHC, to increase its accuracy and reliability. Currently, this proposal includes using hourly meteorological data recorded at airports near the modeling sites instead of the worst case conditions now recommended as a modeling default. The analysis in this study has shown that airport data should be used only on a situational basis as discrepancies exist between airports and local intersections. It is unclear if the added meteorological data will improve CAL3QHC's performance. This study also compares actual CO concentrations and their corresponding meteorology with the worst case modeling defaults. The highest CO levels are occurring at calms (wind speed less than one meter per second) which are not able to be modeled with the current Gaussian dispersion equation in CAL3QHC. Given the findings of this analysis and the lack of other scientific evidence supporting the proposed refinements, recommendations for developing an alternative model improvement plan are outlined.
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