LattaEvaluatingLandUse.pdf

Citeable URL: https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/articles/v405sc355

Descriptions

Attribute Name	Values
Creator	Latta, Gregory S. Adams, Darius M. Bell, Kathleen P. Kline, Jeffrey D.
Abstract	We describe the use of linked land-use and forest sector models to simulate the effects of carbon offset sales on private forest owners' land-use and forest management decisions in western Oregon (USA). Our work focuses on forest management decisions rather than afforestation, allows full forest sector price adjustment to land-use changes, and incorporates time-dependent costs and restrictions of offset programs. The land-use model utilizes structure count data on some 21,000 plots spanning 30 years. The intertemporal optimizing forest sector model employs mill-level demand and FIA plot-level inventory. Our linked simulation modeling projects that an offset sales program could reduce forest land loss to development in western Oregon by about 4700 acres over the 2010-2060 simulation period for each $1 increase in the carbon price. At $10 per tonne CO₂, regional private carbon stocks would be roughly stabilized at current levels over the period to 2060. Rotations would lengthen on enrolled lands, as expected, but use of planting, thinning and uneven-aged management would decline. Keywords: Carbon storage, Carbon markets, Silviculture, Forest land development, Climate change Keywords: Carbon storage, Carbon markets, Silviculture, Forest land development, Climate change
Rights Statement	Copyright Not Evaluated