Technical Report
 

Future climate projections. Marion County : June 2022

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https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/technical_reports/ht24ws536

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  • A report to the Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development.
  • Climate change is expected to increase the occurrence of many climate-related natural hazards. Confidence that the risk of heat waves will increase is very high (Table 1) given strong evidence in the peer-reviewed literature, consistency among the projections of different global climate models, and robust theoretical principles underlying increasing temperatures in response to ongoing emissions of greenhouse gases. Confidence that the risk of many other natural hazards will increase as climate changes is high or medium (Table 1), reflecting moderate to strong evidence and consistency among models, yet these risks are influenced by multiple secondary factors in addition to increasing temperatures. Confidence in ochanges in risks is indicated as low if projections suggest relatively few to no changes or evidence is limited.
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