Undergraduate Thesis Or Project

 

Conditions precipitating currency devaluation : an analysis of the 1994 Mexican financial crisis 公开 Deposited

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  • The purpose of this study is to develop an analytical framework for identifying and evaluating conditions that precipitate currency devaluation like those experienced by Mexico in 1994. This study develops a framework of financial and macroenvironmental indicators that point to potential currency devaluation in the future. Some of these indicators are: the level of interest rates, Balance of Payments information, the general political environment, and the timeliness of governmental information releases. The framework will rely on international parity conditions, Balance of Payments relationships, and political events to link the indicators to predictions of currency devaluation. The framework will be applied to the currency crisis of Mexico in 1994 to serve as an example.
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