Index Catalog // ScholarsArchive@OSU

Consideration of uncertainty in forest management decision-making

Creator:: Thompson, Emmett Frank
Abstract:: Management decisions are generally considered to be made under one of three categories of future knowledge: certainty, risk, or uncertainty. All three categories occur in forest management. However, forest management decisions whose outcomes are dependent upon future levels of timber yields, prices, utilization standards, or social and legal institutions are...
Resource Type:: Dissertation

A study of strategic and tactical decision making procedures

Creator:: Elsner, Brian Jerome
Abstract:: An extensive literature survey investigated methods and approaches for evaluating intangible economic factors at the strategic and tactical levels of managerial decision making. These sources provided: 1) the background for a theoretical decision making algorithm developed for comparing alternative economic proposals for effectiveness at the strategy levels, and 2) a...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: intangible effects at the tactical levels of decision making. Methods are recorded under three general

Entrepreneurs’ start-up versus persistence decisions: A critical evaluation of expectancy and value

Creator:: Holland, Daniel V. and Garrett, Robert P.
Abstract:: Research suggests that entrepreneurs tend to seek to maximize utility when considering whether to pursue a new venture opportunity. However, when choosing whether to persist with their current venture or not, utility maximization may not be of primary importance. Using a conjoint experiment, we examine the difference between policies in...
Resource Type:: Article
Full Text:: offer novel insights into the entrepreneurial decision-making process. Keywords Entrepreneurship

An investigation of the influence of choice structure on decision making behavior

Creator:: Dervitsiotis, Kostas N.
Abstract:: The behavior of individuals in decision making under risk was investigated using choice structures of greater complexity than the types examined in previous studies. The experiment performed consisted of two phases. In Phase I a basic utility function for money was derived for each subject using lotteries with two equally...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: making under uncertainty (Wald, 1950). In formulating statistical. decision theory the need arose for

A sampling procedure to detect alternative actions in a decision model for choosing among apple harvesting systems

Creator:: Rudkin, Terry Harrold
Abstract:: Numerous analytical aids are available to apple producers to assist them in the decision problem of choosing among alternative apple harvesting systems. However, a majority of these techniques fail to recognize the effect of apple orchard yield variability on system performance and economic efficiency. Furthermore, many of the suggested procedures...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: systematic approach to decision making under conditions of imperfect knowledge (Halter and Dean, 1969

An Engineering Decision Support System (EDSS) with alternative-criterion pair evaluations

Creator:: Herling, Derald E.
Abstract:: An Engineering Decision Support System, EDSS, was developed using Bayesian mathematics which incorporates knowledge and confidence components observed in alternative-criterion pair decision making. The separation of knowledge and confidence has been previously unaccounted for in decision-making methods. EDSS provides decision support to individuals or teams which must make choices between...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: Evaluation Using the Alternative-Criterion Pair 56 4.2.2 Decision Making with a Condition of Uncertainty 57

Just enough die-level functional test : optimizing IC test via machine learning and decision theory

Creator:: Fountain, Tony R.
Abstract:: This research explores the hypothesis that methods from decision theory and machine learning can be combined to provide practical solutions to current manufacturing control problems. This hypothesis is explored by developing an integrated approach to solving one manufacturing problem - the optimization of die-level functional test. An integrated circuit (IC)...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: uncertainty about test results, the appropriate decision rule is to act to maximize expected profits. Thus

Dependent evidence in reasoning with uncertainty

Creator:: Ling, Xiaoning
Abstract:: The problem of handling dependent evidence is an important practical issue for applications of reasoning with uncertainty in artificial intelligence. The existing solutions to the problem are not satisfactory because of their ad hoc nature, complexities, or limitations. In this dissertation, we develop a general framework that can be used...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: ]). Combining opinions from experts is a basic problem in decision making processes and a problem of broad

FATE group decision support system in transportation decision making

Creator:: Taekratok, Thaweesak
Abstract:: Two interesting challenges have been created in the traditional transportation planning process through recent adoption of more interactive roles by Federal, State and local transportation agencies and of those representing the communities being impacted by proposed transportation projects. First, the decision-making groups that formerly included solely transportation and related professionals...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: ). He believes that decision-making in complex situations takes place under constraints of human

The inclusion of expertise in a decision support system for strategic decision making

Creator:: Goul, Kenneth Michael
Abstract:: A decision support system (DSS) incorporating domain expertise guides, tutors, and consults a decision maker in opportunity, problem, and crisis identification activities. The objective for the system is to promote improved decision making. Using an "Independent Groups" design, an experimental study was conducted to investigate the effects of DSS use...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: CERTAINTY RISK UNCERTAINTY COMPETITION ENVIRONMENT 8 4. IDENTIFYING AN OPPORTUNITY FOR DECISION MAKING

A decision model for apple harvester selection

Creator:: Rudkin, Terry Harrold, Langmo, R. Donald, Halter, Albert N., 1927-, and Oregon State University. Agricultural Experiment Station
Abstract:: Published April 1973. Facts and recommendations in this publication may no longer be valid. Please look for up-to-date information in the OSU Extension Catalog: http://extension.oregonstate.edu/catalog
Resource Type:: Technical Report
Full Text:: guidelines will clarify factors that influence apple harvester performance, and aid the decision making

U.S. Catfish Farm Supply Under Uncertainties

Creator:: Nguyen, Giap and Jolly, Curtis M.
Abstract:: The present study uses normalized profit function and adaptive expectation approaches to analyze U.S. catfish farm supply. Empirical estimations give short-run supply elasticity of 0.25 and 0.26 and long-run supply elasticity of 0.47 and 2.1 in each of the two approaches, respectively. Technological improvement is attributed for only 9.8% out...
Resource Type:: Research Paper
Full Text:: farm decision-making process are considered as stochastic random variables. The distributions of

Making a decision about a nursing home

Creator:: Schmall, Vicki L., Pratt, Clara C., and Oregon State University. Extension Service
Abstract:: Published April 1993. Facts and recommendations in this publication may no longer be valid. Please look for up-to-date information in the OSU Extension Catalog: http://extension.oregonstate.edu/catalog
Resource Type:: Technical Report
Full Text:: $1.75 MAKING A DECISION ABOUT A NURSING HOME ^Ui 0

Scheduling cooperative postmerger decisions within a framework of uncertainty

Creator:: Thompson, Stanley Robert
Abstract:: A major problem confronting farmer cooperatives merging for the first time is the lack of valuable experience that a prior merger would have provided. This lack of experience results in a decision making environment of imperfect knowledge, both of the necessary postmerger activities to be performed and the timing of...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: Probability It can be argued that any decision making problem under com- plete uncertainty can be viewed

Talking to your family and doctor about difficult health care decisions

Creator:: Hare, Jan and Oregon State University. Extension Service
Abstract:: Published October 1991. Facts and recommendations in this publication may no longer be valid. Please look for up-to-date information in the OSU Extension Catalog: http://extension.oregonstate.edu/catalog
Resource Type:: Technical Report
Full Text:: for decision making? (A should be allowed to occur.) proxy cannot be your doctor or nurse.) 3

Knowledge-based decision model construction for hierarchical diagnosis and repair

Creator:: Yuan, Soe-Tsyr
Abstract:: Knowledge-Based Model Construction (KBMC) has generated a lot of attention due to its importance as a technique for generating probabilistic or decision-theoretic models whose range of applicability in AI has been vastly increased. However, no one has tried to analyze the essential issues in KBMC, to determine if there exists...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: of reasoning, modeling, and decision making under uncertainty. However, it appears that current

The influence of biological characteristics on fisheries co-management : a game theory perspective

Creator:: Trisak, Jiraporn
Abstract:: Co-management is considered an alternative approach to fisheries management, however, not all co-managed fisheries have been successful. Most studies discussing the success and failure of co-management have emphasized economic and social attributes of success and failure, such as fishery rights and institutional arrangements. The effect on co-management of biological characteristics,...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: resource users jointly share responsibility, including decision-making (Hanna, 1995; Jentoft, 1989; and

Focus! it's the consumer that counts: new perspectives on the role of consumers in aquaculture decision making

Creator:: Young, James A., Muir, James F., and Smith, Andrew P.
Abstract:: In developed country markets, the consideration of consumer wants has not been prominent hitherto in aquaculture production decisions. Like capture fisheries aquaculture has been product driven. This supply-side focus reflects an emphasis upon technical solutions to the production and capacity problems of high unit value (HUV) species culture. Whilst this...
Resource Type:: Research Paper
Full Text:: perspectives on the role of consumers in aquaculture decision making James A Young1[1], James F Muir2

Using scientific input in policy and decision making

Creator:: Adams, Paul W., Hairston, Anne B., and Oregon State University. Extension Service
Abstract:: Published January 1973. Facts and recommendations in this publication may no longer be valid. Please look for up-to-date information in the OSU Extension Catalog: http://extension.oregonstate.edu/catalog
Resource Type:: Other
Full Text:: ORECON 1 Input in Policy and Decision Making P.W. Adams and A.B. Hairston P olicy making usually is

Predisposing attributes affecting locational preferences upon retirement : a prospective view

Creator:: Mileham, Colleen K.
Abstract:: This research investigated the relationship of predisposing attributes of preretirees to the perceived importance of locational preferences during the first ten years of retirement. Multiple regression analyses and a Chi-square test were used to determine if seven predisposing attributes were related to ten locational preferences. Data were analyzed from a...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: the decision making process of individuals anticipating retirement (Pampel, Levin, Louviere, Meyer

Optimum cattle inventory systems under conditions of certainty and uncertainty--south-eastern Oregon

Creator:: Wheeler, Richard Orin
Abstract:: The economic efficiency related to the use of the range resource is extremely important to an area such as Southeastern Oregon where most of the gross income of the area is obtained from range livestock production; important to the economic progress of the region and to the development of a...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: decision making problem under conditions of uncertainty implies that the certainty problem can be solved

Uncertainty, market disequilibrium and the firm's decision process : applications to the Pacific salmon market

Creator:: Lent, Rebecca J.
Abstract:: The Pacific salmon market may often be characterized by disequilibrium conditions and less than perfect information. Thus the study of the decision-making behavior, especially short-run pricing, of wholesale market participants in this industry requires the use of alternative models to the conventional, price-taking, perfect competition model of the firm. This...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: useful for analyzing long-run market characteristic, the study of decision-making under uncertainty may

A precautionary approach to aquaculture: the incorporation of risk and incertainty in the feasibility analysis of shrimp hatchery in Mexico

Creator:: Martinez-Cordero, F. J., Seijo, J. C., and Juarez, L. M.
Abstract:: Sustainable aquaculture can be achieved when risk and uncertainly are incorporated in the analysis of the activity. This paper presents a precautionary approach to the feasibility analysis of a project for a commercial hatchery, applying decision theory. Two production scenarios were assessed, continuous and periodic, the later a combination of...
Resource Type:: Research Paper
Full Text:: -making. A continuous production project, which was the preferred choice when risk and uncertainty were

A feasibility study on compiling reactive problem solution methods for an Al domain

Creator:: Kaul, Lothar
Abstract:: This paper investigates the feasibility of compiling the functionality of a decision theoretic problem solving engine into a set of rules or functionally similar construct. The decision theoretic engine runs in exponential time, while the rule set runs in linear time at worst. The main question that will determine the...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: decision-making into account during the decision-making process. We have begun work on such a real-time

Decision-making in water resource allocation

Creator:: Brown, Carl, 1935-, Monks, Joseph G., and Park, James R.
Abstract:: The work upon which this publication is based was supported by funds provided by the United States Department of the Interior as authorized under the Water Resources Research Act of 1964, as amended. OWRR Project No. B-016-ORE.
Resource Type:: Book
Full Text:: DECISiON MAKING IN WATER RESOURCE ALLOCATION by Carl Brown

Quality capability self-diagnosis : a multicriteria evaluation approach

Creator:: Huang, Kuei-Jung
Abstract:: Quality Capability Self-diagnosis is a convenient and economical way to assess the performance of an operating quality system, as well as a basis for initiating necessary corrective actions essential to quality improvement and preparation for certification. This paper describes the research leading to the development of a cost-effective and systematic...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: CHAPTER 3 MULTICRITERIA SYSTEM EVALUATION 67 3.1 Introduction to Multicriteria Decision Making 67

Strategic problem solving in the community college : an analytic model

Creator:: Pearson, Geraldine Helen
Abstract:: The purpose of the study was to determine if a model could be created which would describe and prescribe a superior method for strategic problem solving in the community college. A review of the literature in business and industry was used to extrapolate a model which might describe the decision...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: explain decision making in organizations that have a high level of uncertainty. Cohen, March, and Olsen

Oregon farm models : a spreadsheet approach

Creator:: Chambers, William D
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: decision making has become one of the uost complex portions of ITodern production agriculture. Modern

Decision procedures for capital rationing under conditions of risk

Creator:: Nebergall, David William
Abstract:: The problem of deciding exactly how to allocate a limited amount of capital resources among competing investment alternatives in order to provide the greatest economic benefit to the business enterprise has been a subject of interest for nearly a century. Many decision models and methods for evaluation and comparison of...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: Decision procedures for capital rationing under conditions

Multiple use decision making on public lands

Creator:: Harris, Tiffin D. and Oregon State University. Extension Service
Abstract:: Published July 1981. Facts and recommendations in this publication may no longer be valid. Please look for up-to-date information in the OSU Extension Catalog: http://extension.oregonstate.edu/catalog
Resource Type:: Technical Report
Full Text:: UNIVERSITY C 55 (VD (0PA oop Multiple Use Decision Making on Public Lands July 1981Special Report 628

Resource planning of a high technology company under risk and uncertainty

Creator:: Jain, Pravin J.
Abstract:: A multi-phase methodology is proposed as an aid to resource planning and management activities in a high technology company faced with an uncertain marketing future. An attempt is made to incorporate both quantifiable and non-quantifiable factors. The problem analysis phase of the proposed methodology employs Resource Planning and Management (RPM)...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: the risk elements involved with making a long term decision under uncertain- ty are made explicitly

New tools and approaches to uncertainty estimation in complex ecological models

Creator:: Brugnach, Marcela
Abstract:: This dissertation investigates the problem of uncertainty in complex ecological models. The term "complex" is used to convey both the common and scientific meanings. Increasingly, ecological models have become complex because they are more complicated; ecological models are generally multi-variate and multi-leveled in structure. Many ecological models are complex because...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: mind, I have chosen to examine uncertainty from several perspectives and under the premise that the

Loran-C receivers: making the decision

Creator:: Smith, Frederick J. (Frederick John), 1936- and Oregon State University. Extension Service/Marine Advisory Program
Abstract:: Published March 1979. Facts and recommendations in this publication may no longer be valid. Please look for up-to-date information in the Sea Grant Catalog: http://seagrant.oregonstate.edu/publications
Resource Type:: Technical Report
Full Text:: process. Making the decision (Step 3) Making the decision is simple in one sense, difficult in

A Bioeconomic Simulation Model of a Fishery Using Area Rotation Under Uncertainty

Creator:: Quigley-Lemieux, Kathryn and Sylvia, Gil
Abstract:: Scallop fisheries are often characterized by variable abundance and periodic mass mortality occurrences. Area rotation is a respected management tool for sedentary species. A bioeconomic simulation model that incorporates the spatial and temporal distribution of scallop beds and fishing effort is presented. The model is user-friendly and was designed for...
Resource Type:: Research Paper
Full Text:: UNDER UNCERTAINTY Kathryn Quigley-Lemieux, Oregon State University, kate_j_quigley@yahoo.com Dr

Professional Decisions: Responsibilities

Creator:: Elms, David G. and Brown, Colin B.
Abstract:: The responsibilities which civil engineers, and particularly the engineer of record, accept are considered. The interaction with other decision makers such as the owner, stakeholders, the law and contractors results in complexity that can be partially resolved by the introduction of protocols in the form of regulations and codes of...
Resource Type:: Article
Full Text:: . Examples of decision-making are included in judicial verdicts, medical prescriptions and in military

Choice of Organization Managing and Utilizing Japanese Coastal Resources Using Ahp Technique

Creator:: Mitani, Takumi
Abstract:: In Japan, common fishery rights are granted by prefectural governor only to local fisheries cooperative associations (FCAs). Coastal resources like abalones are utilized by local fishers as members of FCAs. Fishery rights are deemed to be real rights and any person encroaching upon this right is subject to fine. Therefore,...
Resource Type:: Research Paper
Full Text:: some methods of applying AHP to support a group decision making process. How do they reach their

The Optimal Time Path for Carbon Abatement and Carbon Sequestration under Uncertainty: The Case of Stochastic Targeted Stock

Creator:: Haim, David, Plantinga, Andrew J., and Thomann, Enrique
Abstract:: We explore the optimal time path of carbon sequestration and carbon abatement in stabilizing CO₂ levels under uncertainty of climate impacts. Using a two-period sequential decision making model, we analytically derive optimal rates for the two control variables, abatement and sequestration rates. Uncertainty is assumed to affect the desired future...
Resource Type:: Article
Full Text:: (2002) shows, by using a two-period sequential decision- making model, that uncertainty in climate

A multiple criteria Markovian Decision Process

Creator:: Sohn, Sangwon
Abstract:: A composite system of a Markovian Decision Process with multiple criteria involves both discounting criteria and nondiscounting criteria. The measurement of the discounting criteria is chosen to be the total sum of the payoffs over the time horizon and the measurement of the non-discounting criteria is chosen to be the...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: decision making entity varies. Binary variables are introduced for each action at each state and then a

Optimal inference with local expressions

Creator:: Borujerdi, Mohammad
Abstract:: Probabilistic inference using Bayesian networks is now a well-established approach for reasoning under uncertainty. Among many e ciency-driven tech- niques which have been developed, the Optimal Factoring Problem (OFP) is distinguished for presenting a combinatorial optimization point of view on the problem. The contribution of this thesis is to extend...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: networks is now a well-established approach for reasoning under uncertainty. Among many e�ciency-driven

Economic evaluation of different cropping patterns under irrigated agriculture : a multidisciplinary approach

Creator:: Mahrouf, Abdul R. M.
Abstract:: The purpose of this study is to determine the socioeconomic factors which influence the profitability and adoption of new cropping patterns, and to recommend suitable measures to enhance the crop diversification program in Mahaweli System B, Sri Lanka. The adoption of new cropping patterns is determined by a number of...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: of the new cropping patterns and farmers' decision making environment. The analytical methods

An economic analysis of the long-run decision-making behavior of Oregon otter trawl fishermen

Creator:: Herrick, Samuel F.
Abstract:: In the formulation of fisheries management plans required under the Fisheries Conservation and Management Act of 1976 specific attention is paid to the "capacity" of domestic fishing vessels to harvest the predetermined optimum yield on an annual basis. Capacity is interpreted in this thesis as the technical harvesting potential of...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: Title: AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE LONG RUN DECISION-MAKING BEHAVIOR OF OREGON OTTER TRAWL FISHERMEN

Mechanisms which encourage beneficiary participation in decision making in rural development assistance projects in developing countries

Creator:: Bates, Reid A.
Abstract:: This study was designed to discover how beneficiary participation in decision making can be encouraged and enhanced in rural development assistance projects in developing countries. The study sought to increase the understanding about how beneficiary participation occurs through the identification of patterns, processes or techniques in development assistance projects that...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: decision making in rural development assistance projects in developing countries AN ABSTRACT OF THE

The career decision making of individuals with mild developmental disabilities

Creator:: Thyfault, Alberta J.
Abstract:: Individuals with mild developmental disabilities have traditionally been excluded from full participation in their career decision making due to the stereotyping of their perceived incompetence. This view forms a mind-set or stigma that is recognized as the disability myth. This study initially addressed the vocational development of individuals with mild...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: The career decision making of individuals with mild

Use of decision trees in analysis of the potential gain from approved zone status under the ETJ shellfish health regime

Creator:: Sutherland, Roy and Revell, Brian
Abstract:: Britain has traditionally tried to protect its livestock, fish and shellfish production industries from many serious diseases by restricting imports of live animals- fish and shellfish to those from countries free of specified important diseases affecting particular classes of stock. Although the primary aim of the European Union has been...
Resource Type:: Research Paper
Full Text:: use in assisting national policy decision-making, yet risk and uncertainty is just as likely to be

Credibility and Advocacy of Environmental Scientists in Resource Decision Making: A Regional Study

Creator:: Lach, Denise and List, Peter
Abstract:: This paper discusses some results from a regional study of the proper roles of ecological research scientists in natural resource decision-making. The study was conducted in the Pacific Northwest by researchers at Oregon State University and focuses on scientists involved in the Long Term Ecological Research Program (LTER). Using data...
Resource Type:: Research Paper
Full Text:: Decision Making: A Regional Study IIFET 2000 Proceedings Credibility and Advocacy of Environmental

Integrating Sustainable Manufacturing Assessment into Decision Making for a Production Work Cell

Creator:: Zhang, Hao and Haapala, Karl R.
Abstract:: Sustainability has been the focus of intense discussions over the past two decades, with topics surrounding the entire product life cycle. In the manufacturing phase, research has often focused solely on environmental impact assessment or environmental impact and cost analysis in its assessment of sustainability. Few efforts have investigated sustainable...
Resource Type:: Article
Full Text:: Decision Making for a Production Work Cell Hao Zhang 1 , Karl R. Haapala 1 * 1 Industrial

An integration of market structure theory and decision making in selected agricultural industries

Creator:: Gilbert, Howard Alden
Abstract:: This research was designed to test the applicability of commonly accepted market structure theory to firm behavior within agricultural processing industries. The research was primarily concerned with testing the influence of relative firm size on discretionary management decisions. Statements from economic theory concerning structural influences on behavior comprised the hypotheses....
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: utilization. Von Neumann and Morgenstern (1947) recognized that decision making commonly takes place under

Compliance with food category consumption guidelines based on student characteristics, family characteristics, and decision-making factors

Creator:: Beary, Janet K. Hopkins
Abstract:: Dietary excesses and imbalances play a prominent role in five of the ten leading causes of death in the U.S. Recognizing that many Americans tend to have poor dietary habits, the government has implemented several nutrition education strategies. Although these efforts have attempted to improve the nutritional status of Americans,...
Resource Type:: Dissertation
Full Text:: student characteristics, family characteristics, and decision-making factors AN ABSTRACT OF THE

Relationship of pauses to problem solving events in mechanical design protocols

Creator:: Chamberlin, Martha J.
Abstract:: This thesis compares two methods for studying the problem-solving processes of mechanical design engineers. The first method, verbal protocol analysis, was applied by L. Stauffer to construct a problem-solving model of mechanical design. The second method, timing analysis, measures the time intervals separating drawing or speaking actions during the design...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: proposed designs (create, patch, refine). Evaluating proposed designs (simulate, compare). Making

Apparel descriptions in catalogs and perceived risk associated with catalog purchases

Creator:: Gaal, Brigitte D.
Abstract:: The increasing popularity of catalog shopping has prompted many retailers to enter the market. Consequently, competition among catalog retailers has escalated. To maintain or expand their customer bases, catalog retailers must now find better ways to serve consumers. Many consumers are apprehensive to shop for apparel via catalog because they...
Resource Type:: Masters Thesis
Full Text:: ' uncertainty of purchase outcomes. While in a store, consumers may physically inspect garments before making a

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