American meteorology was synonymous with subjective weather forecasting in the early twentieth century. Controlled by the Weather Bureau and with no academic programs of its own, the few hundred extant meteorologists had no standing in the scientific community. Until the American Meteorological Society was founded in 1919, meteorologists had no...
The purpose of this thesis is to construct several stochastic
process models for combined statistical dynamic prediction of the
500-millibar pressure surface for the northern hemisphere. To
achieve this, a random forcing function is added to the spectral form
of the nondivergent vorticity equation. Three models, one linear and
two...
Multiple linear regression was used to develop equations for 12-,
24-, and 36-hour surface wind forecasts for the wind energy site at
Goodnoe Hills. Equations were derived separately for warm and cool
seasons. The potential predictors included LFM II model output, MOS
surface wind forecasts extrapolated from surrounding stations, pressure...
Many meteorologists rely heavily on their experience of past weather events to supplement their forecasting tools, such as using past experience to help decide between conflicting numerical weather prediction models. Experiential knowledge is an important piece of forecasting, however it is highly subjective and variable from one forecaster to another....
In the northwestern Gulf of Mexico there is a need for reliable water level forecasts to facilitate safe commercial navigation, marine construction, and emergency management. Though the low amplitude tides of the region can be predicted with conventional harmonic techniques, frequent strong storms make accurate forecasts of water levels difficult....
In the measurement of fire weather and forest inflammability,
now practiced regularly at more than 90 forest stations in northern
Idaho and western Montana, it is necessary to use many methods
that are peculiar to this work. Some of these methods are familiar
to meteorologists, but few foresters have had...
