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Modeling Land Use with Multi-agent Systems: Perspectives for the Analyis of Agricultural Policies

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Abstract
  • This paper addresses the adequacy and perspectives of multi-agent system (MAS) models in the context of policy sup-port for agricultural policy makers. The paper starts illustrating what MAS are and how they may be used. The general presenta-tion is followed by the description of an exemplary spatial dynamic model of a large number of interacting farms (agents). This model is simulated for different policy scenarios and farm sizes. The results are analyzed with regard to the farm structure, land use, efficiency, and farmers' incomes. It is concluded that policy analysis should not only address problems of price distortions. If agricultural policies affect structural change in the way the simulations show, the dynamic efficiency and income implications may be much more severe. In particular, well meant subsidies may in the long run create a dependency on further support.
  • Keywords: multi-agent systems, policy analysis, structural change, path dependence
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Citation
  • Balmann, Alfons. Modeling Land Use with Multi-agent Systems: Perspectives for the Analyis of Agricultural Policies. In: Microbehavior and Macroresults: Proceedings of the Tenth Biennial Conference of the International Institute of Fisheries Economics and Trade, July 10-14, 2000, Corvallis, Oregon, USA. Compiled by Richard S. Johnston and Ann L. Shriver. International Institute of Fisheries Economics and Trade (IIFET), Corvallis, 2001.
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  • Corvallis, Oregon, USA
Proceedings Editors
  • Shriver, Ann L.
  • Johnston, Richard S.
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  • International Institute of Fisheries Economics and Trade; U.S. National Marine Fisheries Service; MG Kailis Group
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