Graduate Thesis Or Dissertation
 

Beaches, Wine, and Weed: Economic Implications of Land Use Change in Oregon

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https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/graduate_thesis_or_dissertations/nc580t19q

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  • The economic analysis of land use decisions provides insight into incentive structures faced by landowners and the impacts of landowner decisions on others. Qualifying and quantifying these incentives and impacts offers insight into the relevant characteristics of decision-making. In turn, this allows the researcher to model and predict land use decisions. These models also allow the researcher to test the implications of varying policy on land use outcomes. This dissertation consists of three essays on land use decisions related to issues in Oregon. The first essay explores the decision for coastal homeowners to install shoreline armoring. The modification of the shoreline has profound implications on the natural ecosystems, coastal erosion rates, and beach access. We simulate land use decisions forward in time to understand how modifications will evolve along the coast. Our results suggest that risk-increasing attributes of land are more likely to increase the probability of armoring. We also find that spatial spillovers are possibly the most influential determinant of the armoring process. This suggests that clustering is likely to occur, further reinforcing the armoring process over time. The second essay assesses the value of specific land attributes across the state. We explore the role of climate in the market price of vineyards. Our results suggest that climate forecast information capitalizes into current vineyard prices. Forward-looking buyers and sellers benefit from a location with a prime climate that that is unlikely to deviate in future states. Forward-looking buyers and sellers may also benefit from cooler land that is likely to experience greater warming based on forecast. These results offer insight into market valuation of land characteristics associated with the ability to produce wine grapes. The third essay evaluates the role of recreational marijuana legalization on opioid demand and opioid mortality. We utilize spatial heterogeneity in the location of recreational dispensaries to evaluate the role of costs in adoption and impact. In other words, land is “developed” or converted into dispensaries post-legalization that may not provide uniform access to all Oregonians. Our findings suggest that the legalization and proliferation of recreational marijuana is associated with between an 8.1 and 14.8 percentage decline in the quantity of prescribed opioids. We also find some evidence of fewer non-heroin opioid-related deaths post recreational marijuana legislation. The elements of this thesis illustrates the importance of downscale, micro level analysis of the spatial components of land use change.
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  • I acknowledge funding that supported parts of this research from the NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science Competitive Research Program through NOAA Cooperative Institutes Program award numbers NA11OAR4320091A and NA16OAR4320152 to the Cooperative Institute for Marine Resources Studies at Oregon State University.
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  • 2019-07-29 to 2021-08-30

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file details BeasleyWilliamJ2019.pdf 2019-07-29 Público Descargar