Technical Report
 

Future climate projections. Baker County : February 2020

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https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/technical_reports/9c67ww197

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  • A report to the Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development.
  • Climate change is expected to increase the occurrence of most climate-­‐related risks considered in this report. The risks of heat waves are projected to increase with very high confidence due to strong evidence in published literature, model consensus, and robust theoretical principles for continued increasing temperatures. The majority of risks expected to increase with climate change have high or medium confidence due to moderate to strong evidence and consensus yet they are influenced by multiple secondary factors in addition to increasing temperatures. Risks with low confidence, while important, show relatively little to no changes due to climate change or the level of evidence is limited. This report presents future climate projections for Baker County relevant to specific natural hazards for the 2020s (2010–2039 average) and 2050s (2040–2069 average) relative to the 1971–2000 average historical baseline. The projections were analyzed for a lower greenhouse gas emissions scenario as well as a higher greenhouse gas emissions scenario, using multiple global climate models. This summary lists only the projections for the 2050s under the higher emissions scenario. Projections for both time periods and both emissions scenarios can be found within relevant sections of the main report.
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Déclaration de droits
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  • Oregon Climate Change Research Institute website
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file details Baker2020.pdf 2023-01-13 Public Télécharger