Technical Report
 

Future climate projections. Umatilla County : October 2020

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https://ir.library.oregonstate.edu/concern/technical_reports/tq57p0384

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  • A report to the Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development.
  • Climate change is expected to increase the occurrence of most climate-related natural hazards. This report addresses how climate change is expected to influence eleven climate-related natural hazards or risks categorized with very high, high, medium, and low confidence levels. The risks of heat waves are projected to increase with very high confidence due to strong evidence in published literature, model consensus, and robust theoretical principles for continued increasing temperatures. The majority of risks expected to increase with climate change have high or medium confidence due to moderate to strong evidence and consensus, yet they are influenced by multiple secondary factors in addition to increasing temperatures. Risks with low confidence, while important, show relatively little to no changes due to climate change or the level of evidence is limited. The projected direction of change, along with the level of confidence in the direction of change for each climate change-related natural hazard or risk, is summarized in Table 1. The full report describes the projected changes for each climate metric representing the natural hazard.
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